Using future climate scenarios to support today's decision making
Chris Paterson, Government Actuary's Department (GAD)
Public bodies need to make long-term investment and planning decisions, and it is their responsibility to consider risks affecting the outcomes of these decisions. These include potential risks from climate change, which are highly uncertain, difficult to communicate and require specific expertise...
Climate scenario analysis is a tool developed to help answer questions like these. It assesses the impact of different plausible future climate change scenarios on an organisation, project or strategy.
Understanding the impact of climate change under each potential scenario can inform decisions. This talk covers how GAD guidance and advice on scenario analysis helps public bodies with their decision making.
Attendees should expect to learn what climate scenario analysis is, what it is for and why, the steps involved, and some of the useful resources they can find to help them with it. In so doing they will also learn more about 'climate risk' in general and how different changes to the climate could affect the public sector.
About the presenters
Chris Paterson is a Chartered Actuary (Fellow) and Head of Risk and Assurance Actuary, based in the Government Actuary's Department (GAD).
GAD provides actuarial solutions, including financial risk analysis, modelling and advice, to support the UK public sector. GAD is a non-ministerial department.
The presenting team includes members of the Government Actuary's Department (GAD) profession as well as Government Economic Service (GES), Government Geography Profession (GGP), Government Operational Research Service (GORS), and Policy Profession
What you could learn in this session
- Having a positive impact on decision making / evidence based decision making
- Showcase of an impactful project or piece of work
- Demonstration of a technique or tool that helped the team make an impact
- Engaging across government to make an impact
Secure your space today!
About AiG Month (1-31 May 2025)
- Analysis in Government Month (AiG Month) is the UK's largest learning and development event for government analysts
- The Analysis Function has around 17,000 members working across analysis professions and government departments
- This event is part of Analysis in Government (AiG) Month, brought to you by the Analysis Function
- Every government analyst is considered to be a member of the Analysis Function. Our members include actuaries, digital and data analysts, data scientists, economists, geographers, operational researchers, social researchers, stastisticians, dual badged, and unaffiliated analysts
- Find out more about AiG Month 2025 on our new AiG Month Hub
- Follow us on Eventbrite to be the first to find out about new events
- Follow us on X @gov_analysis and connect with us on LinkedIn
